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JPMorgan Maintains 60% Recession Call Despite Trump 90-Day Tariff Pause

In a recent update to its forecast, the Wall Street giant has cited President Donald Trump’s “shocking” tariffs on China as a major factor in its revised projections. The updated forecast, which was obtained by Newsweek, has sent shockwaves through the financial world and raised concerns about the impact of these tariffs on the global economy.

The tariffs, which were announced by President Trump in March, impose a 25% tax on $50 billion worth of Chinese imports, with the potential for an additional $200 billion in tariffs. This move has sparked a trade war between the world’s two largest economies, with China retaliating by imposing its own tariffs on American goods.

The Wall Street giant, which has chosen to remain anonymous, stated that the tariffs have caused uncertainty and instability in the market, leading to a downward revision in their forecast. The impact of these tariffs has been felt across various industries, from technology to agriculture, and has raised concerns about the potential for a global economic slowdown.

The updated forecast has also highlighted the potential consequences for American consumers, who may end up paying more for products as a result of these tariffs. This could lead to a decrease in consumer spending, which would have a ripple effect on the overall economy.

The Wall Street giant’s concerns are echoed by many experts, who have warned that the tariffs could have a detrimental effect on the global economy. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has also expressed its worries, stating that the tariffs could lead to a “serious slowdown” in global economic growth.

Despite these concerns, President Trump has remained steadfast in his decision to impose the tariffs, stating that they are necessary to protect American jobs and businesses. He has also expressed his frustration with China’s trade practices, accusing them of unfair trade practices and intellectual property theft.

However, the impact of these tariffs has not been limited to the United States and China. The European Union, Canada, and Mexico have also been hit with tariffs by the Trump administration, leading to fears of a potential trade war on multiple fronts.

The Wall Street giant’s updated forecast serves as a wake-up call for the Trump administration, highlighting the potential consequences of these tariffs on the global economy. It also serves as a reminder that in today’s interconnected world, the actions of one country can have a significant impact on others.

In response to the updated forecast, many are calling for a diplomatic solution to the trade tensions between the United States and China. They argue that a trade war would be detrimental to both economies and could have far-reaching consequences for the global economy.

It is also essential for the Trump administration to consider the long-term effects of these tariffs, not just on the economy but also on American businesses and consumers. While the goal may be to protect American jobs, the tariffs could end up hurting the very people they were meant to help.

In conclusion, the Wall Street giant’s updated forecast serves as a reminder that trade tensions between the United States and China have far-reaching consequences. It is crucial for both countries to find a diplomatic solution to this issue and work towards a mutually beneficial trade agreement. The global economy is at stake, and it is in the best interest of all parties involved to find a resolution that benefits everyone.